Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.013054 0.015143 0.017448 0.020179 0.023323 0.026830 0.031037
2026-02-01 0.009757 0.012410 0.015603 0.019723 0.024896 0.031170 0.039355
2026-02-08 0.007651 0.010537 0.014281 0.019482 0.026511 0.035668 0.048495
2026-02-15 0.006072 0.008973 0.012995 0.018957 0.027552 0.039470 0.057232
2026-02-22 0.005273 0.008294 0.012736 0.019709 0.030346 0.045926 0.070437
2026-03-01 0.004462 0.007430 0.012034 0.019649 0.031880 0.050702 0.081794
2026-03-08 0.003686 0.006472 0.011014 0.018897 0.032175 0.053557 0.090499
2026-03-15 0.003174 0.005853 0.010424 0.018716 0.033304 0.057792 0.101867
2026-03-22 0.002941 0.005672 0.010529 0.019703 0.036495 0.065766 0.120435
2026-03-29 0.002673 0.005378 0.010385 0.020212 0.038883 0.072608 0.137831
2026-04-05 0.002310 0.004846 0.009722 0.019655 0.039225 0.075808 0.148982
2026-04-12 0.002044 0.004459 0.009276 0.019439 0.040158 0.080163 0.162754
2026-04-19 0.001776 0.004033 0.008703 0.018911 0.040452 0.083419 0.174991
2026-04-26 0.001562 0.003686 0.008240 0.018542 0.041015 0.087268 0.188899
2026-05-03 0.001391 0.003408 0.007883 0.018345 0.041905 0.091868 0.204904
2026-05-10 0.001223 0.003106 0.007429 0.017865 0.042109 0.095047 0.218265
2026-05-17 0.001157 0.003040 0.007497 0.018582 0.045080 0.104513 0.246497
2026-05-24 0.001049 0.002852 0.007254 0.018530 0.046268 0.110168 0.266841
2026-05-31 0.000917 0.002580 0.006768 0.017822 0.045801 0.112002 0.278578
2026-06-07 0.000830 0.002411 0.006514 0.017652 0.046619 0.116914 0.298176
2026-06-14 0.000804 0.002407 0.006680 0.018586 0.050324 0.129144 0.336982
2026-06-21 0.000759 0.002341 0.006675 0.019066 0.052926 0.138970 0.370958
2026-06-28 0.000678 0.002155 0.006317 0.018541 0.052804 0.141964 0.387919